News

In order to make the most of today’s newsletter, you’ll need a basic understanding of the Fed Funds Rate (the thing the Fed actually hikes or cuts in an attempt to keep inflation in a target range) and the fact that mortgage rates are very different from the Fed Funds Rate. Here is a handy…
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By this time next week, we will have heard from the Fed as they announce the next rate hike on September 21st.  It will be big too.  Just how big is a matter of debate.  0.75% is a safe starting point, but 1.00% will be on the table as well.  The former would match July’s…
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It’s certainly already been an interesting year for financial markets–especially for housing and interest rates. But most of what’s happened over the past 8 months could be thought of as the more predictable phase of the post-pandemic market cycle. It’s what happens next that’ll be more interesting. How could anyone say that the last 8…
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While it was never likely to contain too many surprises, this week’s much-anticipated Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Powell served as an important reminder as to why rates have risen so sharply in August. The Fed has 8 scheduled policy meetings per year.  At the conclusion of those meetings, the Fed releases an official…
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Markets and mortgage rates are currently trying to reconcile the big narratives that have accounted for most of the movement in 2022.  In one corner we have inflation and the forces trying to fight it.  In the other, we have the economic fallout from that fight. Inflation was the main reason rates skyrocketed in the first…
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The market came into the week with a big focus on the scheduled policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB).  While our focus remains on mortgage rates in an entirely different continent, major goings on in European markets almost always have an effect on the equivalent U.S. markets. That would prove true on several…
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